Featured VideoWally Doolin, Chairman and Cofounder of Black Box Intelligence, presents March and first quarter trends for the restaurant industry

Comp Sales Struggle While Job Growth Remains Positive

Wallace Doolin, Chairman and Founder of BBI stated; “The results for March were disappointing following 6 straight months of positive comparable sales growth. Comparable Store Sales and Traffic were both negative dropping approximately +2.0% and +3.0% espectively from the month of February. While February comps were driven in many regions by a favorable weather rollover, it appears the reverse effect impacted the Northeast and Midwest during record breaking warm weather in March. Our Consumer Edge Research Willingness to Spend Index is indicative of the consumer remains concerned about the effect high gas prices on restaurant spending. On a positive note, the last two weeks of March were positive Comp Store Sales.”



Highlights for March include negative comparable store sales of -0.20%, with guest traffic of -3.40%. Sales were negative in both food and alcoholic beverages. Results were most positive in the Texas region posting positive comp store sales of 2.26% for the month, while New England fared the worst, with negative sales of -3.40%. BBI currently reports on 76 distinct concepts distributed in 117 DMA’s (designated market areas).

Job growth of 4.3% was positive and stronger than the 2.6% in the previous month. People Report currently tracks over 1 million employees each month. The CER Restaurant Willingness to Spend Index, calculated monthly from household surveys of over 2500 consumers, showed a deterioration in the index, the second straight month of decline. 
For more information about Black Box Intelligence membership or this release, please contact Bill Schaffler, COO, at bill.schaffler@prbbi.com.

Give your company
a clear line-of-sight
into the industry.

-0.2%

Comp Sales

+1.70%

Q1 2012

-3.4%

Comp Traffic

-1.2%

Q1 2012
Per Person Average/PTA

+3.4%

March

+2.9%

Q1 2012
Food
Comp Sales

Mar

Q1 2012
Alcohol
Comp Sales

Mar

Q1 2012

Texas

Best Region
Sales
+2.30%
Traffic
-2.7%

New England

Worst Region
Sales
-3.4%
Traffic
-5.7%

# Markets

 SALES
54
46%
Mar

# Markets

 SALES
63
54%
Mar
Year/Year Job Growth*

+4.3%

February

+2.6%

January
Management
Turnover*

Q1 2012
QTD

Feb
YTD
Hourly
Turnover*

Q1 2012
QTD

Feb
YTD
*People Report, Human Capital Intelligence, February 2012 Release