Featured VideoWally Doolin, Chairman and Co-founder of Black Box Intelligence, presents the April snapshot for the restaurant industry

Restaurant sales improve slightly in April

Following two months of disappointing declines, industry performance improved slightly in April as same-store sales returned to positive territory while guest traffic remained negative, according to the most recent Restaurant Industry Snapshot from Black Box Intelligence.

The monthly report is garnered from the tracking of 73 distinct restaurant brands and approximately 12,000 units that are clients of Black Box Intelligence, a financial performance benchmarking company. Black Box Intelligence is a sister company to People Report, currently tracking 1 million restaurant employees on workforce analytics. The Restaurant Industry Snapshot also includes the Restaurant Industry Willingness to Spend Index from Consumer Edge Research, which is a monthly household survey of over 2,500 consumers. Consumer Edge Research is a marketing partner with Black Box Intelligence and People Report.

The report found that industry same-store sales rose 1.3 percent in April and guest traffic was down 2.1 percent for the month. The report also found that sales for both food and alcohol were positive, and check average was 3.4 percent higher than the same month last year. “Following a disappointing March, April results rebounded in every one of the 12 regions we track, and in all of the key metrics we report on”, said Wallace Doolin, chairman and founder of Black Box Intelligence. “We are pleased to report an improvement in March, but we aren’t yet seeing strong growth”, Doolin said. “It is encouraging to see the improvement across DMAs (Designated Market Areas). In March, less than 50% of the DMAs we report on were positive comp sales. Compare that to almost 75% reporting positive comp sales in April and you get a sense the industry is leveling off.” We do see some regions California rebounding closer to January’s 12 month high in sales and traffic. Doolin noted that New England was the region that struggled most, declining 1.4 percent and 4.2 percent in sales and traffic, respectively. He noted that this was an improvement of over 2.0 percent compared to March. Similar improvements were also seen in the Midwest and the Mid Atlantic during April, said Doolin.

After two straight months of decline, The Restaurant Industry Willingness to Spend Index was flat to the prior month, which Doolin said is indicative of consumers concerns. “The consumer remains concerned about the effect high gas prices, under-employment and uncertainty in the government and the economy overall which continues to have impact on restaurant spending. However the fact that the index is flat may mean a plateau until something stimulates confidence further.” he explained.

For more information about Black Box Intelligence membership or this release, please contact Bill Schaffler, COO, at bill.schaffler@prbbi.com.

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+1.30%

Comp Sales

+1.20%

Rolling 3 Mo.

-2.1%

Comp Traffic

-1.8%

Rolling 3 Mo.
Per Person Average/PTA

+3.4%

April

+3.1%

Rolling 3 Mo.
Food
Comp Sales

Apr

Rolling 3 Mo.
Alcohol
Comp Sales

Apr

Rolling 3 Mo.

Midwest

Best Region
Sales
+2.40%
Traffic
-0.8%

New England

Worst Region
Sales
-1.4%
Traffic
-4.2%

# Markets

 SALES
83
72%
Apr

# Markets

 SALES
32
28%
Apr
Year/Year Job Growth*

+4.5%

March

+4.3%

February
Management
Turnover*

Q1 2012
QTD

Mar
YTD
Hourly
Turnover*

Q1 2012
QTD

Mar
YTD
*People Report, Human Capital Intelligence, March 2012 Release